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Domain: www.paulgraham.com Added: 2025-08-13 Status: βœ“ Success
www.paulgraham.com
October 2015 This will come as a surprise to a lot of people, but in some cases it's possible to detect bias in a selection process without knowing anything about the applicant pool. Which is exciting...
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Business Advice Plagued by Survivor Bias
https://longform.asmartbear.com/survivor-bias/
Business Advice Plagued by Survivor Bias Do you read articles written by a founder who failed three times, never finding success? No, because you want...
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The Ronco Principle
http://www.paulgraham.com/ronco.html
January 2015 No one, VC or angel, has invested in more of the top startups than Ron Conway. He knows what happened in every deal in the Valley, half t...
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Black Swan Farming
http://www.paulgraham.com/swan.html
| | September 2012 I've done several types of work over the years but I don't know another as counterintuitive as startup investing. The two most impo...
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Two Kinds of Judgement
http://www.paulgraham.com/judgement.html
April 2007 There are two different ways people judge you. Sometimes judging you correctly is the end goal. But there's a second much more common type ...
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Investor Herd Dynamics
http://www.paulgraham.com/herd.html
August 2013 The biggest component in most investors' opinion of you is the opinion of other investors. Which is of course a recipe for exponential gro...
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The Equity Equation
http://www.paulgraham.com/equity.html
| | July 2007 An investor wants to give you money for a certain percentage of your startup. Should you take it? You're about to hire your first employ...
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Why There Aren't More Googles
http://www.paulgraham.com/googles.html
April 2008 Umair Haque wrote recently that the reason there aren't more Googles is that most startups get bought before they can change the world. Goo...
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How to Be an Expert in a Changing World
http://www.paulgraham.com/ecw.html
December 2014 If the world were static, we could have monotonically increasing confidence in our beliefs. The more (and more varied) experience a beli...
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The Future of Startup Funding
http://www.paulgraham.com/future.html
| | August 2010 Two years ago I wrote about what I called "a huge, unexploited opportunity in startup funding:" the growing disconnect between VCs, wh...
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The Pattern-Seeking Fallacy
https://longform.asmartbear.com/pattern-seeking-fallacy/
The Pattern-Seeking Fallacy What do these have in common? - β€œThis pitcher has retired 5 of the last 7 batters.” - β€œWe tried 10 AdWords variants and co...
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