All pretty models are wrong, but some ugly models are useful
Wrong, but useful
Contrary to our intuition, a theory of physics can be useful—making accurate predictions—and yet simultaneously incorrect...
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The following is an edited excerpt from The Great Mental Models Volume 1: General Thinking Tools
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The Pattern-Seeking Fallacy
What do these have in common?
- “This pitcher has retired 5 of the last 7 batters.”
- “We tried 10 AdWords variants and co...